This Sunday, France begins the cycle of its legislative elections, which will end in the second round next Sunday. French women from abroad and overseas have already voted.
The milestones of this Sunday. Polling stations opened at 8 a.m. in mainland France. Attendance estimates are expected to begin to fall around noon and then others in the late afternoon. The official screenings of the legislative elections will fall at 8 p.m.
The main issue. Will Emmanuel Macron have a parliamentary majority to implement his program? This is the major issue of this election. The re-elected president faces a left grouped behind Jean-Luc Mélenchon, including his party, La France insoumise, the Socialist Party, the Communist Party and Europe Ecologie Les Verts.
Part of the electoral game is going to be played at the turnout, which is expected to continue to decline.
Our explanations before this election:
12:20 p.m. Voter momentum is slower than in April for the presidential election
Turnout at this time is down sharply from the first round of the 2022 presidential election in April, when it reached 25.48% at noon. It is also lower than in the 2012 general election at the same time (21.06%).
Lot of consolation: the turnout is much higher than in the departmental and regional elections from 2021 to noon (12.22%).
12h. A participation comparable to 2017?
The very first estimate released by AFP gives a 18.43% turnout at noon, down 0.8 points from 2017.
🔴🗳The turnout at noon is 18.43%, down slightly from 2017 # legislatives2022… https://t.co/1r16zkYOKC
– Prsidentielle10 (@ Legislative 2022 | 🗳)January 12, 2022
In Haute-Savoie, the rate at noon is a very slight increase compared to the 2017 legislature.
11:40. A well-placed government participant
The government led by Elisabeth Borne – which is running itself – has a representative in the second round. Le Monde reports that Secretary of State for the Sea Justine Benin won 31.31% of the vote in the first round on Sunday, June 12, in thee constituency of Guadeloupe. She is ahead of the various left-wing candidate Christian Baptiste who garnered 26.76% of the vote.
11:35. The latest state of the polls
In the last calculated and published voting intentions, the left-wing Nupes alliance (LFI, PCF, PS and EELV) presented itself side by side in the voting intentions with Ensemble !, the macronist coalition of La République en marche / Renaissance ( new name of the party of the president), the MoDem and Horizons, the faction of Edouard Philippe.
The latest polls released on Friday put Ensemble! leading in number of deputies, but not necessarily with an absolute majority of 289 seats out of 577.
11:33. Abstention, the first issue
Experts predict a massive abstention – more than 50% of the likely 48 million voters. Abstention in the legislature has only increased since the 1993 election, from 31% that year to 51.3% in 2017. It primarily affects young people and the popular classes.
Voted in my favorite office. # circo3110 Vote and get voted! Happy Sunday! # electionslegislatives2022 https://t.co/uckREq7h21
– zitouni2022 (@Reda Zitouni, 10th Circus Haute Garonne Lauragais)January 12, 2022
Between the presidential election and the legislative election, the timetable was reversed in 2002. The new order, with the presidential election first, increased turnout.
11:30. Some details on the ballot
Nearly 6,300 candidates are running for the 577 parliamentary seats. This is 20% less than in 2017, due in part to the agreement on the left.
Those who will not be elected this Sunday will have to, in order to reach the second round on June 19, either get to the top two in their constituency or get the votes of 12.5% of registered voters.
The setup this year is telling experts that there should be a lot of triangulars for the second round. In 2017, there was only one triangular.
“On the road to the Assembly”: four portraits of candidates
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