This Sunday, France begins the cycle of its legislative elections, which will end in the second round next Sunday. French women from abroad and overseas have already voted.
The milestones of this Sunday. Polling stations opened at 8 a.m. in mainland France. Estimates of participation, slightly lower, fell at noon, others will come in the late afternoon. The official screenings of the legislative elections will fall at 8 p.m.
The main issue. Will Emmanuel Macron have a parliamentary majority to implement his program? This is the major issue of this election. The re-elected president faces a left grouped behind Jean-Luc Mélenchon, including his party, La France insoumise, the Socialist Party, the Communist Party and Europe Ecologie Les Verts.
5:40 p.m. It is in the Southwest that we vote the most
According to the French daily Release, at 5 pm, the Lot department recorded the highest turnout, with 52.37% of voters, ahead of the Pyrénées-Atlantiques (50.42%) and Haute-Vienne (48.81%). The department of Seine-Saint-Denis is the one where voters have moved the least with a turnout of 27.72%.
5:02 p.m. 39.42% stake
The turnout at 5pm is 39.42% for this first round, down 1.3 points from 2017. On this basis, estimates estimate that a record abstention should be reached at the end of the day. , between 52.5% and 53%, well above 51.3% in 2017.
This information is bad news for Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s New Popular Ecological and Social Union, which thought it could create a mobilization effect with its historic alliance. Without such a shock, it will be difficult for her to move the lines in the face of the presidential majority, as we explain here:
Our explanations before this election:
4:13 p.m. Emmanuel Macron arrested on charges of rape and violence against ministers
Legislative elections cover local and national policy issues. For Emmanuel Macron and the presidential majority, this is the first event of this second five-year term and the French president must already be held accountable. On social media, several netizens questioned Emmanuel Macron about the appointment of ministers accused of rape and violence against women in a tweet announcing his vote.
@EmmanuelMacron It’s great to vote. But you put men accused of rape and violence against women… https://t.co/kn9rI6rF67
– Giulia_Fois_ (@Giulia Foïs)January 12, 2022
Barely elected for a second term, the president had to deal with the scandal raised by the appointment of Damien Abad as Minister of Solidarity, Autonomy and Disability on charges of rape. The latter, a candidate in the 5th constituency of the Ain for the legislatures, however, retained his position. During his previous term, Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin was charged with similar charges and had also retained his position, which he still holds. Judicially, a non-place was requested last January. He is also a candidate in the 10th Northern constituency.
These cases returned to the forefront of the French political scene last Thursday, a few days before the election, when a high school student questioned Emmanuel Macron on the subject during a visit to the Tarn. The next day, gendarmes came to see the girl at her school. An approach seen as an attempt to intimidate the high school girl and her many supporters.
4:09 p.m. Clément Beaune, Minister and Candidate
On his Twitter account, European Affairs Minister Clément Beaune posted a photo of him voting. Candidate in the 7th constituency of Paris, he is one of the fifteen ministers also candidates who will have to resign from their ministry in case of failure.
To make our democracy live and protect: voted! 🇫🇷🗳 # legislatives2022 https://t.co/IvRs58ajQX
– CBeaune (@Clement Beaune)January 12, 2022
3:43 p.m. Leading regionalists in Martinique
In all four Martinique constituencies, at least one regionalist candidate goes to the second round, and it is only in the third constituency that a candidate from another current (various left) wins the first round. The elections on the island were marked by a very strong abstention since only 15.10% of voters had moved at 5pm compared to 18.19% in 2017. In the presidential election, it was Jean-Luc Mélenchon who had come very first in the lead in the first round in Martinique.
3 p.m. Fifteen ministers play their part
“Damocles” slips Liberation about ministers taking office this Sunday. Of the 28 members of Elisabeth Borne’s government, 15 are running for office – including the leader. And the principle is that if they are not elected, they will leave a government that in some cases they have barely won.
Among the fifteen are the Minister of the Interior Gérald Darmanin (North), the Minister of Solidarity Damien Abad (Ain) or the person in charge of relations with the parliament Olivier Véran (Isère).
For now (read below), only one member of the team is fixed on his fate: Justine Benin, Secretary of State for the Sea, in a favorable ballot in Guadeloupe.
2:45 p.m. New Caledonia supports the presidential majority
New Caledonia and Wallis and Futuna, who had largely voted for Emmanuel Macron in the presidential election, have confirmed their support for the President of the Republic, notes AFP.
In both constituencies in New Caledonia, presidential candidates are leading the way on a record abstention. Less than one in three voters moved.
2:20 p.m. What happens if Nupes wins?
Shortly after the presidential election, Jean-Luc Mélenchon established himself as the main opponent of the president by bending socialists, communists and environmentalists under his banner, the so-called New People’s Union, ecological and social.
The left is proposing an economic program to inject 250 billion euros into the economy (compared to 267 billion in revenue), including 125 billion in aid, subsidies and redistribution of wealth.
In the event – very unlikely – or this left led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon would win an absolute majority, it would impose on Emmanuel Macron an unprecedented cohabitation for a newly re-elected president. He would be deprived of virtually all his powers in domestic politics.
“It is no longer he who will determine the policy of the nation, but the majority in the National Assembly and the Prime Minister who will emerge from it,” said Dominique Rousseau, a professor of constitutional law at Panthéon-Sorbonne University. quotes AFP.
1:45 p.m. “Less enthusiasm than for the presidential election”
The AFP agency scores in the French territories. In Saint-Sulpice-la-Forêt (Brittany), 61-year-old Arnaud Davy, who “votes in every election”, finds “less enthusiasm than for the presidential election, people talk less about it”.
For Mauricette, 73, who was one of the first voters in Pantin, a suburb of Paris, “we are going through a somewhat complicated period, a fortiori it is even more important to show up” by going to the polls.
1:05 p.m. Donkey hats and good students
The Lot is the department that voted the most at noon this Sunday, at 27.8%, ahead of the Cantal (26.35%), the Jura (25.69%), the Dordogne (25.19%) and the Gers (24.86%).
The lowest participation was recorded in Seine-Saint-Denis with 9.85%.
Franceinfo offers a mid-day participation card (the blue scale ranges from 8% to 28%).
12:30 p.m. The chairman voted
Re-elected on April 24, Emmanuel Macron voted at his Le Touquet polling station at noon.
12:20 p.m. Voter momentum is slower than in April for the presidential election
Turnout at this time is down sharply from the first round of the 2022 presidential election in April, when it reached 25.48% at noon. It is also lower than in the 2012 general election at the same time (21.06%).
Lot of consolation: the turnout is much higher than in the departmental and regional elections from 2021 to noon (12.22%).
12:15 p.m. Leaders voted
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, on the left, and Marine Le Pen, on the right, slipped their ballots into their candidacy cities.
12h. A participation comparable to 2017?
The very first estimate released by AFP gives a 18.43% turnout at noon, down 0.8 points from 2017.
🔴🗳The turnout at noon is 18.43%, slightly lower than in 2017 # legislatives2022… https://t.co/1r16zkYOKC
– Prsidentielle10 (@ Legislative 2022 | 🗳)January 12, 2022
In Haute-Savoie, the rate at noon is a very slight increase compared to the 2017 legislature.
11:40. A well-placed government participant
The government led by Elisabeth Borne – which is running itself – has a representative in the second round. Le Monde reports that Secretary of State for the Sea Justine Benin won 31.31% of the vote in the first round on Sunday, June 12, in thee constituency of Guadeloupe. She is ahead of the various left-wing candidate Christian Baptiste who garnered 26.76% of the vote.
11:35. The latest state of the polls
In the last calculated and published voting intentions, the left-wing Nupes alliance (LFI, PCF, PS and EELV) presented itself side by side in the voting intentions with Ensemble !, the macronist coalition of La République en marche / Renaissance ( new name of the party of the president), the MoDem and Horizons, the faction of Edouard Philippe.
The latest polls released on Friday put Ensemble! leading in number of deputies, but not necessarily with an absolute majority of 289 seats out of 577.
11:33. Abstention, the first issue
Experts predict a massive abstention – more than 50% of the likely 48 million voters. Abstention from the legislature has only increased since the 1993 election, from 31% that year to 51.3% in 2017. It primarily affects young people and the popular classes.
Voted in my favorite office. # circo3110 Vote and get voted! Happy Sunday! # electionslegislatives2022 https://t.co/uckREq7h21
– zitouni2022 (@Reda Zitouni, 10th Circus Haute Garonne Lauragais)January 12, 2022
Between the presidential election and the legislative election, the timetable was reversed in 2002. The new order, with the presidential election first, increased turnout.
11:30. Some details on the ballot
Nearly 6,300 candidates are running for the 577 parliamentary seats. This is 20% less than in 2017, due in part to the agreement on the left.
Those who will not be elected this Sunday will have to, in order to reach the second round on June 19, either get to the top two in their constituency or get the votes of 12.5% of registered voters.
The setup this year is telling experts that there should be a lot of triangulars for the second round. In 2017, there was only one triangular.
“On the road to the Assembly”: four portraits of candidates
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